Abstract:

This report estimates the growth in passenger and freight demand in 2030-31, in three scenarios of GDP growth: optimistic, realistic and pessimistic. A four-step calculation was used to estimate energy required for passenger and freight transport. This involved estimation of in-vehicle electricity consumption, electricity energy consumed for hauling and electrical energy consumed in the hauling of non-suburban and suburban passenger transport. Estimation of future electrical traction in rail passenger and freight transport also included expected use of electric traction in hauling non-suburban passenger and freight transport. Based on these calculations, the electricity requirement of the Indian Railways has been projected till 2030-31: the first step in implementing the de-carbonization process.