Abstract:

Based on the status quo analysis and the review of Guangdong transport related to the 14th Five-Year Plan, this study developed three scenarios for the province’s four regions to stimulate the decarbonization potentials of different mitigation measures, including the promotion of zero-emission vehicles, a mode shift from high-emitting modes (such as trucks) to low-emitting modes (such as railways), improved vehicle fuel efficiency, avoided travel, and decarbonizing upstream power/hydrogen generation up to 2060. Based on the scenario analysis, policy implications were drawn. The results from scenarios analysis for the four regions show that decarbonizing Guangdong’s road transport sector requires synergies between different levels of governments, including Guangdong provincial governments, Guangzhou and Shenzhen municipal government, as well as other municipal governments in Guangdong. The report highlights necessary measures that each group of governments have to take to decarbonize the province’s transport sector.