Abstract:

This paper evaluates the CO2 emissions impacts of several possible regulatory pathways to achieving Canada’s 100% electric vehicle sales target for light-duty vehicles by 2035 and assesses how these compare to Canada’s 2030 economy-wide greenhouse gas target. The study evaluates a Baseline scenario, which reflects current polices, and three Alternative scenarios to meet Canada’s 100% electric vehicle sales target for light-duty vehicles: Alternative 1, in which Canada achieves 50% electric vehicle sales, including battery electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles, by 2030; Alternative 2, in which Canada achieves 61% electric vehicle sales by 2030; and Alternative 3, in which Canada further requires the phase-out of plug-in hybrid vehicles by 2035.